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Will this deal actually close?

Eight signals, weighted the way deals actually behave. Get a 0–100 health score, a close probability, and the single action that moves the number most.

The deal

Answer honestly. Optimism is what kills forecasts.

Silence is the loudest risk signal there is

Deal health score

70

Healthy

Close probability
weighted from signals
Risk level

Signal breakdown

Next action

The results above are free and ungated, always. An account just saves them.

Two deals, same signals. Work out which one actually deserves your Tuesday.

Deal A

Deal B

How a pipeline actually converts — and where deals leak out. The stage that loses most is rarely the one reps worry about.

Where deals actually die

Qualified
100 deals100%
DM engaged
5858%
−42%
Budget confirmed
3939%
−33%
Closed won
2121%
−46%
The leak is not where you think

Reps obsess over the close. But the largest early drop is between "qualified" and "decision-maker engaged" — a large share of deals never reach the person who controls the money. By the time you are negotiating, the deal was decided months ago.

What reps track

Stage. Close date. Deal value. All three are things the rep controls — and none of them are signals the buyer is sending.

What predicts closing

Decision-maker access. Budget confirmed, not assumed. Days of silence. A timeline the buyer invented. All four are things the buyer does — which is exactly why they are honest.

Signal weights

Decision-maker access20
Pipeline stage18
Budget status18
Timeline realism12
Competitive position10
Proposal status8
Engagement recency8
Multi-threading6

All figures are illustrative estimates generated on-device for general guidance — not forecasts, financial advice, or guarantees. Nothing you enter is transmitted or stored unless you choose to save a report. Quotarider and XDQ Labs Private Limited make no representation as to accuracy for any individual circumstance.

One deal is a calculator. A pipeline needs an engine.

Quotarider scores every deal continuously, re-ranks by risk, and alerts you the moment one starts slipping — so you find out on day three of the silence, not day thirty.

Start free

How to score a deal without lying to yourself

Every rep has a deal they were certain about that died in week eleven. The certainty was never the problem — the problem was that certainty was built on the wrong signal. Usually a champion's enthusiasm, which feels like buying intent and is not.

Decision-maker access — weight 20

The single most predictive variable. A deal where you have never spoken to the person who controls the budget closes at a fraction of the rate of one where you have — regardless of how enthusiastic your champion is. Champions do not sign. They advocate, and then they get overruled by someone you never met.

Budget status — weight 18

There is a critical difference between "we have budget" and "budget is allocated to this." The first is a statement of general solvency. The second is a commitment. Deals die in the gap between them more than anywhere else.

Engagement recency — weight 8

Silence is the loudest signal in sales and the one reps most reliably rationalise. Fourteen days without meaningful contact on an active deal is not "they're busy." It is a measurable increase in slip probability. Thirty days is usually a loss that has not been recorded yet.

Reading your score

75–100 — Healthy. Forecast it. Keep momentum, do not introduce new stakeholders this late.

50–74 — Workable. There is a specific gap and the tool names it. Fix it this week, or the deal slips a quarter.

Below 50 — At risk. More likely to slip than close. Escalate hard, or take it out of commit and stop lying to your forecast.

Quotarider's AI Deal Health Tracker scores your entire pipeline continuously and alerts you when a score drops — so you catch it on day three of the silence rather than day thirty.

Frequently asked

Is this the same as BANT or MEDDIC?

It overlaps deliberately. BANT and MEDDIC are qualification checklists — you pass or fail each one. This scorer weights those same dimensions, adds engagement recency and multi-threading, and produces a single number so you can rank deals against each other rather than merely qualify them individually.

Do I need an account?

Not to use the calculator — it runs entirely in your browser, free, forever, with no limits. A free account lets you save the report to a dashboard, export it, duplicate it, and track how a deal's score moves over time.

Does this store my deal data?

Only if you click Generate Report while signed in. Otherwise nothing is transmitted, logged or stored — close the tab and it is gone.